“But,” asked the author, “what exactly does one mean by ‘doing’ something?”
Consider, if you will, the idea that AGW is happening and is significant. (Two points that even Pill Jones, author of much AGW alarmism, admits are arguable by reasonable scientists.)
Why do we want to do something about it? What is the bottom line? IMHO, the only reasonable answer is to save future human lives. That is the only possible justification for the huge realignment of resources that are being called for.
Problem is, such huge realignments of resources often have a very negative impact on existing human lives, so you better be damn sure that your risk assessment has some solid foundations.
Consider the fact that the push for biofuels has helped drive the worldwide food price index to almost double the level of what it was in 2000. Buying ethanol for your car cleans the air, reduces dependency on foreign oil, and helps support third-world famine. I guess mass starvation is one way to go green.
Graham Clements
· February 17, 2010 at 2:04 am
The science of global warming is settled, it has been for years. Global warming is caused by humans. In 1998 there was a massive el nino and high solar activity. Since then there has been unusually low solar activity and the el nino’s have not been as bad. If solar activity was at normal levels, then most of the years in the last decade would probably have been hotter than 1998. It’s about time a lot of Americans caught up on where the debate is and stopped listening to vested interests paid for by the petrol and car companies. It really angers me that so many people have through their ignorance or self interest become deniers. Incidentally the weather in America, is not the global weather. For example 2009 was the second hotest year on record in Victoria in Australia.
N – When scientists say “the debate on climate change is over”, what exactly do they mean – and what don’t they mean?
It would be supposition on my behalf to know whether all scientists who say the debate is over are saying that for the same reason. I don’t believe the vast majority of climate scientists think this. This is not my view. There is still much that needs to be undertaken to reduce uncertainties, not just for the future, but for the instrumental (and especially the palaeoclimatic) past as well.
So is Phil Jones a denier now? The science is not settled. In fact, it is barely a science given the slipshod way that many climate scientists have treated the data. Even if we take AGW as a given, which is probably true given I’ve seen no attacks on the basic theory, the magnitude of the problem is very much in question — even your own comment accepts the fact that any number of other factors can completely mask humanity’s effect on the environment. This goes back to the risk assessment issue. Massive efforts to mitigate AGW through the reduction in CO2 (i.e. reduction in energy consumption, and a corresponding diminishing of standard of living that will disproportionately affect the Third World) will have a known negative effect on millions, if not billions, of people. This will be done to avert an allegedly worse effect on millions, if not billions, of people. The fact that few, if any, doomsday scenarios stand up to any scrutiny leads to genuine questioning as to whether the disease is any worse than the cures proposed to date.
michelle
· February 17, 2010 at 3:54 pm
I’m fascinated by how many people are so easily led by the folks getting fabulously rich off of “global warming” (like Al Gore, who has made a killing off his ridiculous claims that have since been proven inaccurate). Even now, after global warming scientists have admitted to LYING and COVERING UP the truth and DELETED emails, folks are so desperate to believe they haven’t been taken for a ride that they buy into this crap. Or maybe they’re just too proud to admit they’ve been played for a fool. Or maybe they’re so used to believing what their governments tell them that it would never occur to them that their governments are lying to them. Regardless, “AGW” is one of the biggest “get rich quick” scams the world has ever seen.
David
· February 18, 2010 at 9:05 pm
I’m such a button-head, now I don’t know which set of vested interests (carbon barons vs. petro barons) is on the side of the angels!
The safest position appears to be highly skeptical.
michelle
· February 19, 2010 at 12:15 pm
David – I’m not against alternative energy. I’m against governments telling me that unless I give them 70% of my hard-earned money for taxes to pay for their agenda and if I don’t we’re all going to die, that I’m against. Even though I don’t subscribe to AGW, I live more ‘green’ than a lot of the environmentalists I’ve run across. But it has nothing to do with ‘saving the planet’, which, like George Carlin, I consider an insanely arrogant position. ( http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eScDfYzMEEw )
I could happily live like the Amish tomorrow a lot easier than these urban environmentalist types. Unless my horse is still lame…
David
· February 21, 2010 at 8:46 pm
Michelle — I, too am against the government attempting to us AGW as yet another excuse to push a big-government authoritarian agenda.
I was commenting on how the people you say will benefit from all the chicanery AGW alarmists are pushing for sound very much like the boogey men they claim are behind the “denialists.” So if one group (oil companies) is a bunch of fat cats gaming the system for maximum gain, logically, there’s no reason the other group (Al Gore, et al) can’t be a bunch of fat cats gaming the system for maximum gain as well.
But of course, that couldn’t possibly be true of a bunch of people who care so much about us they’re going to cram their agenda down our ignorant, unappreciative throats “for our own good,” could it?
michelle
· February 22, 2010 at 3:05 pm
David – Ah, I understand. Thanks for clarifying and you’re right.
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9 Comments
B · February 15, 2010 at 8:44 pm
Good, does that mean we can all stop arguing about it and DO SOMETHING now?
S Andrew Swann · February 16, 2010 at 1:23 pm
“But,” asked the author, “what exactly does one mean by ‘doing’ something?”
Consider, if you will, the idea that AGW is happening and is significant. (Two points that even Pill Jones, author of much AGW alarmism, admits are arguable by reasonable scientists.)
Why do we want to do something about it? What is the bottom line? IMHO, the only reasonable answer is to save future human lives. That is the only possible justification for the huge realignment of resources that are being called for.
Problem is, such huge realignments of resources often have a very negative impact on existing human lives, so you better be damn sure that your risk assessment has some solid foundations.
Consider the fact that the push for biofuels has helped drive the worldwide food price index to almost double the level of what it was in 2000. Buying ethanol for your car cleans the air, reduces dependency on foreign oil, and helps support third-world famine. I guess mass starvation is one way to go green.
Graham Clements · February 17, 2010 at 2:04 am
The science of global warming is settled, it has been for years. Global warming is caused by humans. In 1998 there was a massive el nino and high solar activity. Since then there has been unusually low solar activity and the el nino’s have not been as bad. If solar activity was at normal levels, then most of the years in the last decade would probably have been hotter than 1998. It’s about time a lot of Americans caught up on where the debate is and stopped listening to vested interests paid for by the petrol and car companies. It really angers me that so many people have through their ignorance or self interest become deniers. Incidentally the weather in America, is not the global weather. For example 2009 was the second hotest year on record in Victoria in Australia.
S Andrew Swann · February 17, 2010 at 9:36 am
From Phil Jones’ interview with the BBC:
So is Phil Jones a denier now? The science is not settled. In fact, it is barely a science given the slipshod way that many climate scientists have treated the data. Even if we take AGW as a given, which is probably true given I’ve seen no attacks on the basic theory, the magnitude of the problem is very much in question — even your own comment accepts the fact that any number of other factors can completely mask humanity’s effect on the environment. This goes back to the risk assessment issue. Massive efforts to mitigate AGW through the reduction in CO2 (i.e. reduction in energy consumption, and a corresponding diminishing of standard of living that will disproportionately affect the Third World) will have a known negative effect on millions, if not billions, of people. This will be done to avert an allegedly worse effect on millions, if not billions, of people. The fact that few, if any, doomsday scenarios stand up to any scrutiny leads to genuine questioning as to whether the disease is any worse than the cures proposed to date.
michelle · February 17, 2010 at 3:54 pm
I’m fascinated by how many people are so easily led by the folks getting fabulously rich off of “global warming” (like Al Gore, who has made a killing off his ridiculous claims that have since been proven inaccurate). Even now, after global warming scientists have admitted to LYING and COVERING UP the truth and DELETED emails, folks are so desperate to believe they haven’t been taken for a ride that they buy into this crap. Or maybe they’re just too proud to admit they’ve been played for a fool. Or maybe they’re so used to believing what their governments tell them that it would never occur to them that their governments are lying to them. Regardless, “AGW” is one of the biggest “get rich quick” scams the world has ever seen.
David · February 18, 2010 at 9:05 pm
I’m such a button-head, now I don’t know which set of vested interests (carbon barons vs. petro barons) is on the side of the angels!
The safest position appears to be highly skeptical.
michelle · February 19, 2010 at 12:15 pm
David – I’m not against alternative energy. I’m against governments telling me that unless I give them 70% of my hard-earned money for taxes to pay for their agenda and if I don’t we’re all going to die, that I’m against. Even though I don’t subscribe to AGW, I live more ‘green’ than a lot of the environmentalists I’ve run across. But it has nothing to do with ‘saving the planet’, which, like George Carlin, I consider an insanely arrogant position. ( http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eScDfYzMEEw )
I could happily live like the Amish tomorrow a lot easier than these urban environmentalist types. Unless my horse is still lame…
David · February 21, 2010 at 8:46 pm
Michelle — I, too am against the government attempting to us AGW as yet another excuse to push a big-government authoritarian agenda.
I was commenting on how the people you say will benefit from all the chicanery AGW alarmists are pushing for sound very much like the boogey men they claim are behind the “denialists.” So if one group (oil companies) is a bunch of fat cats gaming the system for maximum gain, logically, there’s no reason the other group (Al Gore, et al) can’t be a bunch of fat cats gaming the system for maximum gain as well.
But of course, that couldn’t possibly be true of a bunch of people who care so much about us they’re going to cram their agenda down our ignorant, unappreciative throats “for our own good,” could it?
michelle · February 22, 2010 at 3:05 pm
David – Ah, I understand. Thanks for clarifying and you’re right.
Comments are closed.